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Friday, December 2, 2022

NFL Week 11 picks, schedule, odds, accidents, stats, fantasy suggestions

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The Week 11 NFL schedule for the 2022 season is stacked with nice matchups, and we received you lined with what it’s essential know heading into the weekend. Our NFL Nation reporters convey us the largest keys to each sport and a daring prediction for every matchup.

Moreover, ESPN Stats & Data offers a giant stat to know and a betting nugget for every contest, and our Soccer Energy Index (FPI) goes contained in the numbers with a matchup ranking (on a scale of 1 to 100) and a sport projection. ESPN researcher Kyle Soppe arms out useful fantasy soccer intel, as effectively. Lastly, Seth Walder and Eric Moody give us last rating picks for each sport. All the things you wish to know is right here in a single spot that will help you prepare for a loaded weekend of NFL soccer.

Let’s get into the total Week 11 slate, together with a giant AFC East matchup between the New York Jets visiting the New England Patriots and the 8-1 Minnesota Vikings internet hosting the Dallas Cowboys. All of it culminates with a Monday Evening Soccer matchup between the 49ers and the Cardinals on ESPN. (Recreation occasions are Sunday except in any other case famous.)

Leap to a matchup:

Thursday: TEN 27, GB 17

1 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: NE -3 (38.5)

What to look at for: Jets QB Zach Wilson threw three interceptions in a 22-17 loss to New England on Oct. 30, and was already speaking a couple of rematch with the Patriots within the rapid aftermath of that sport. Jets head coach Robert Saleh stated of Wilson: “From a story standpoint, to attempt to assault a younger man for 4-5 performs, when they’re 4-5 teachable moments in my thoughts, I believe we’re lacking the massive image on that.” In the meantime, Patriots QB Mac Jones was sacked six occasions that day, his first full sport getting back from a excessive ankle sprain. He stated he did a “full audit” of his first half of the season throughout this previous bye week, and offensive playcaller Matt Patricia stated: “I believe he matures each single week with the best way that he sees the sport, performs the sport and understands from a workforce standpoint how we have to play a specific sport every week.” — Mike Reiss

Daring prediction: Neither workforce will crack 20 factors. This will likely be an old style, rock ’em-sock ’em defensive wrestle between two of the highest defenses. They’re tied for second in factors allowed per sport (15.8) since Week 4. The final time the 2 rivals performed a sport by which neither workforce reached 20 factors was 2014 — a 17-16 win for the Patriots. — Wealthy Cimini

Stat to know: The Patriots are 1-3 coming off a bye with anybody however Tom Brady at QB underneath Invoice Belichick, together with 0-2 the previous two seasons (Brady was 14-4). They have not misplaced to an AFC East opponent after a bye since 2000

Accidents: Jets | Patriots

What to know for fantasy: Previous to the Week 10 bye, Garrett Wilson was coming into his personal. The rookie was a top-15 receiver in each Week 8 and Week 9 — can he maintain the great occasions rolling towards the Pats? See Week 11 rankings.

Betting nugget: The Jets have gained towards the unfold, in addition to outright, in 5 of their previous six video games. The one sport the Jets did not cowl or win outright was towards the Patriots in Week 8 (+3, misplaced by 5). Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Jets 24, Patriots 21
Walder’s choose: Jets 19, Patriots 16
FPI prediction: NE, 50.4% (by a median of 0.3 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Oral historical past of the wild OT coin toss the final time the Jets beat Patriots … Belichick desires coach’s challenges allowed with underneath 2 minutes … Why Patriots, Payments, Jets and Dolphins might win — or lose — the AFC East

1 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: PHI -7 (44)

What to look at for: The Eagles are contemporary off their first lack of the season. However they’ll have some notable institutional data that would definitely assist them on this sport. Coach Nick Sirianni was the Colts’ offensive coordinator for 3 seasons earlier than taking up in Philadelphia, serving to just lately fired Colts coach Frank Reich construct the very system the Eagles will defend on Sunday. And defensive coordinator Jonathan Gannon was a Colts secondary coach earlier than becoming a member of Sirianni’s employees, giving him intensive expertise defending the Colts’ scheme in practices. — Stephen Holder

Daring prediction: Jonathan Taylor will likely be held underneath 100 yards speeding. The Eagles have allowed 320 yards and two touchdowns on the bottom the previous two weeks towards the Texans and Commanders. It has the workforce’s consideration. The entrance workplace signed defensive tackles Linval Joseph and Ndamukong Suh this week, and stopping the run has been a focus of the coaches coming off Monday’s loss to the Commanders. Count on them to load up the field extra towards Indy. — Tim McManus

Stat to know: The Eagles are the twenty ninth workforce to begin 8-0 or higher within the Tremendous Bowl period; 11 of the earlier 28 (39%) and 4 of the previous eight misplaced consecutive video games instantly following the undefeated begin, the newest being the 2020 Steelers.

Accidents: Eagles | Colts

What to know for fantasy: Taylor garnered 85.7% of Colts RB touches final week and rewarded his affected person fantasy managers. That was his second-highest fee of the season, and with a brand new head coach on the command in Jeff Saturday, Taylor as soon as once more feels just like the asset you spent the primary total choose on three months in the past. See Week 11 rankings.

Betting nugget: The Colts have not been an underdog of 6-plus factors at house since 2017 towards the Steelers, which they lined. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Eagles 27, Colts 17
Walder’s choose: Eagles 34, Colts 10
FPI prediction: PHI, 68.5% (by a median of 5.9 factors)

Matchup must-reads: MVP Watch: Hurts is in shut competition … Inside Jeff Saturday’s first week as Colts coach … Eagles add DT Joseph to help run protection, TE Goedert lands on IR … Colts LB Leonard has 2nd again surgical procedure in 5 months

1 p.m. ET | Fox | Unfold: NYG -3 (45)

What to look at for: This sport will likely be a unique form of take a look at for the Giants’ protection. The Lions will likely be their first matchup with any workforce at the moment ranked within the prime 10 in passing offense this season. Detroit has the NFL’s eighth-ranked passing assault, with 241.4 yards per sport. One of the best passing assault the Giants have confronted this season has been the Seahawks, who’re at the moment ranked thirteenth. The Giants have given up greater than 23 factors solely as soon as — to Seattle — whereas the Lions are averaging 24.3 factors per sport. — Jordan Raanan

Daring prediction: Lions rookie defensive finish Aidan Hutchinson will register a sack for the third straight highway sport. Though Detroit’s workforce protection nonetheless wants lots of work, the 2022 No. 2 total choose says he is rising extra comfy because the season progresses as a result of he is being positioned by the teaching employees to succeed. Hutchinson leads all rookies in sacks with 5.5 and final recorded a sack at Chicago on Nov. 13 and 1.5 sacks in Dallas on Oct. 23. — Eric Woodyard

Stat to know: The Giants’ seven one-score wins are tied for probably the most in a workforce’s first 9 video games in NFL historical past (1987 Chargers, 2006 Colts and 2022 Vikings). No workforce in NFL historical past has gained eight one-score video games inside its first 10 video games of a season.

Accidents: Lions | Giants

What to know for fantasy: Amon-Ra St. Brown bounced again with an enormous Week 10 in Chicago (121 yards and 22.1 fantasy factors), however issues get robust this week towards a Giants workforce that hasn’t allowed a receiver to crack 17.5 fantasy factors since Week 3. See Week 11 rankings.

Betting nugget: Six of the Lions’ 9 video games this season have hit the over (66.7%), tied for second-highest fee within the league this season. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Giants 28, Lions 23
Walder’s choose: Lions 23, Giants 20
FPI prediction: NYG, 67.3% (by a median of 4.8 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Lions ended checklist of ‘brutal’ streaks with win vs. Bears … Week 11 buzz: Saquon market, upsets and extra … New place key to Giants DT Lawrence’s sudden rise



Mike Clay thinks Daniel Jones is likely to be a worthwhile QB fantasy choose in Week 11.

1 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: BUF -8 (42)

What to look at for: With a winter storm headed to western New York, the sport has been moved indoors to Ford Discipline in Detroit, and the weather have been thrown out of the image. However a giant take a look at nonetheless awaits a Payments protection that has proven a current weak point towards the run. Browns working again Nick Chubb leads the league with 11 speeding touchdowns and is third in speeding yards (904). The Payments’ protection has allowed 145-plus speeding yards in every of the previous three video games. — Alaina Getzenberg

Daring prediction: QB Josh Allen, who has struggled with turnovers all 12 months, particularly in final weekend’s wild loss to Minnesota, will not throw a choose towards Cleveland’s beleaguered protection. The Browns have intercepted solely three passes this season. — Jake Trotter

Stat to know: Allen has thrown a number of interceptions in three straight video games, the longest streak of his profession. With two interceptions on Sunday, he can be the fourth Payments QB to throw a number of INT in 4 straight video games, the primary since 1985.

Accidents: Browns | Payments

What to know for fantasy: Gabe Davis discovered the tip zone final week towards the Vikings, and he might present good worth once more this week towards a Browns protection that permits the fourth-highest completion share on deep passes (58.2%, league common: 45.6%). See Week 11 rankings.

Betting nugget: Browns coach Kevin Stefanski is 7-1 ATS as an underdog of no less than 3.5 factors. His largest profession underdog function is 8 factors within the 2020 AFC divisional playoffs at Kansas Metropolis, which he lined. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Payments 26, Browns 21
Walder’s choose: Payments 30, Browns 17
FPI prediction: BUF, 80.5% (by a median of 10.1 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Watson practices as Browns prep Brissett for Payments … Why Patriots, Payments, Jets and Dolphins might win — or lose — the AFC East

1 p.m. ET | Fox | Unfold: NO -3 (39)

What to look at for: The Saints stated they’re sticking with QB Andy Dalton regardless of the workforce’s offensive struggles the previous two weeks, however do not anticipate the offensive output to all of the sudden reverse course. Whereas the workforce did get vast receiver Jarvis Landry again final week, it will doubtlessly be lacking three offensive linemen for the second straight sport. Left guard Andrus Peat missed final week with a triceps damage, middle Erik McCoy is on injured reserve and left deal with James Hurst is in concussion protocol, making the Saints probably short-handed towards Rams defensive deal with Aaron Donald. — Katherine Terrell

Daring prediction: The Rams will pressure a takeaway for the primary time since Week 6. Not solely have the Rams not taken the ball away in three video games, however the protection has only one takeaway in its previous seven video games mixed. — Sarah Barshop

Stat to know: With 19 turnovers, the Saints lead the NFL this season and have their most by way of 10 video games since 2014 (additionally 19). On the flip aspect, the Rams have didn’t document a takeaway in three straight video games and have one takeaway of their previous seven video games mixed.

Accidents: Rams | Saints

What to know for fantasy: Alvin Kamara has allow you to down in consecutive weeks (not a top-20 working again in both), and the sledding does not get simpler this week towards a Rams protection that has allowed only one working again not named Christian McCaffrey to clear 15 fantasy factors in a sport this season (that stated, it was James Conner final week). See Week 11 rankings.

Betting nugget: That is the third dome sport previously three seasons to characteristic a complete within the 30s. The earlier two went underneath. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Rams 22, Saints 17
Walder’s choose: Rams 20, Saints 9
FPI prediction: NO, 53.6% (by a median of 1 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Stafford anticipated to begin vs. Saints … Saints persist with QB Dalton after mulling change … Kupp undergoes ankle surgical procedure



Adam Schefter expects to see Matthew Stafford begin for the Rams in Week 11 and is to see who he targets with out Cooper Kupp.

1 p.m. ET | Fox | Unfold: ATL -3 (49)

What to look at for: Count on lots of working because the Bears and Falcons have two of the very best speeding assaults within the league — Chicago is No. 1 (201.7 yards per sport) and Atlanta is No. 4 (160.4 yards per sport) — mixed with two defenses that enable lots of speeding yards (Atlanta 119.4, Chicago 142) and wrestle to get off the sphere on third down (Atlanta permitting 46.6% third down conversions, Chicago 50%). So there could possibly be lots of on-the-ground offense at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. — Michael Rothstein

Daring prediction: Chase Claypool will prime 80 receiving yards and a landing in Atlanta. There isn’t any higher time for the brand new Bears vast receiver to emerge as a playmaker than towards the Falcons’ league-worst cross protection (280.1 yards allowed per sport). Claypool has been focused eight occasions since he arrived in Week 9 and totaled three catches for 21 yards. Offensive coordinator Luke Getsy intimated that Claypool is near being up to the mark with Chicago’s complicated route tree, so this sport is the place the Bears get a breakout efficiency from the speedy vertical menace they traded for on the deadline. — Courtney Cronin

Stat to know: The Bears are the primary workforce in NFL historical past to lose three straight video games whereas scoring greater than 29 factors in every sport. No workforce has misplaced 4 straight whereas scoring 28-plus factors in every sport.

Accidents: Bears | Falcons

What to know for fantasy: The superlatives for Justin Fields are overwhelming. Over the previous 4 weeks, he has 38.9 extra fantasy factors than some other participant (that is the identical distinction between the second-best participant in fantasy and the 54th greatest over that stretch). Or how about the truth that over these 4 weeks, he has outscored the three major items of Atlanta’s cross sport (Marcus Mariota, Kyle Pitts and Drake London) by himself. See Week 11 rankings.

Betting nugget: Atlanta is 0-4 ATS in its previous 4 video games after beginning the season 6-0 ATS. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Bears 26, Falcons 21
Walder’s choose: Bears 23, Falcons 17
FPI prediction: ATL, 68.1% (by a median of 5.4 factors)

Matchup must-reads: With 5 TDs in previous 3 video games, Bears TE Kmet rising as purple zone menace … 4 points the Falcons should repair over the ultimate eight video games … Bears second-leading rusher Herbert (hip) goes on IR

1 p.m. ET | Fox | Unfold: BAL -13 (41)

What to look at for: The Ravens’ robust run protection seems to decelerate D’Onta Foreman. Since turning into Carolina’s prime working again, Foreman has gained over 100 yards speeding in three of his previous 4 video games. Baltimore, although, hasn’t allowed a 100-yard rusher in 18 straight video games (not since Dalvin Prepare dinner in Week 9 of 2021). The Ravens have allowed one 100-yard rusher previously two seasons, which ranks because the fewest within the NFL. Baltimore’s protection has gotten much more stout with the acquisition of center linebacker Roquan Smith. — Jamison Hensley

Daring prediction: Foreman may have no less than 118 yards speeding for the third time in 4 video games towards a Ravens protection ranked third within the NFL, averaging 92 yards per sport. He’ll additionally rating three speeding touchdowns towards a protection that has allowed solely 9 to maintain this sport nearer than many anticipate. — David Newton

Stat to know: The Ravens have gained 150-plus speeding yards in eight straight video games, the longest single-season streak by any workforce previously 35 seasons. Solely 4 groups within the Tremendous Bowl period have longer streaks (the 1972 and ’73 Dolphins, 1975 Steelers and 1985 Bears). All gained the Tremendous Bowl.

Accidents: Panthers | Ravens

What to know for fantasy: Foreman has run for over 115 yards in every of the previous three video games by which he has seen no less than 10 carries. After a 31-carry effort on Thursday evening and given the will on this sport to maintain Lamar Jackson on the sidelines, double-digit carries really feel like a protected guess this week. See Week 11 rankings.

Betting nugget: The Panthers are 1-15 of their previous 16 video games because the double-digit underdog however gained the newest one in Week 7 towards the Buccaneers. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Ravens 31, Panthers 20
Walder’s choose: Ravens 34, Panthers 13
FPI prediction: BAL, 85.5% (by a median of 12.6 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Panthers gamers shopping for into interim coach Wilks … With best remaining schedule, can Jackson and Ravens win out? … Panthers’ Mayfield stuns workforce with helmetless head-butts … Ravens’ Andrews conjures up youngsters who’ve diabetes … Panthers’ Mayfield centered on profitable, not his future

1 p.m. ET | Fox | Unfold: WSH -3 (41)

What to look at for: Coach Ron Rivera determined to roll with quarterback Taylor Heinicke over Carson Wentz for the reason that Commanders have gained 4 out of their previous 5 video games. Neither is taking part in drastically higher than the opposite, as Heinicke has a passer ranking of 82 and Wentz’s ranking is 84. The Texans’ cross protection holds quarterbacks to a ranking of 87, the ninth lowest within the NFL. So anticipate the Commanders to run the ball, because the Texans have allowed 1,636 yards on the bottom, most within the NFL. — DJ Bien-Aime

Daring prediction: Brian Robinson will surpass 100 yards for the primary time in his profession towards the NFL’s worst run protection. Robinson is averaging 3.3 yards per carry, however that is been a perform of some missed blocks in addition to him getting used to working within the NFL. He missed the primary 4 video games after being shot twice within the leg in August. However with the tight finish group getting more healthy, particularly blocking tight finish John Bates, and with a stronger dedication to calling runs by offensive coordinator Scott Turner, there needs to be some greater video games in Robinson’s future, particularly if the road improves on some particulars with footwork. Large runs will comply with Sunday. — John Keim

Stat to know: The Commanders are 2-4 in video games Wentz began at quarterback this season, averaging 17 factors per sport. They’re 3-1 in video games Heinicke began, averaging 22 factors per sport.

Accidents: Commanders | Texans

What to know for fantasy: Terry McLaurin received rolling on Monday evening towards a stingy Eagles protection (eight catches for 128 yards), and now faces a Texans protection that has seen solely seven receivers gash it for over 15 fantasy factors in a sport this season (18.5 from Darius Slayton final week). See Week 11 rankings.

Betting nugget: That is the sixteenth consecutive sport Houston will likely be an underdog, the longest energetic streak within the NFL, and the second-longest streak in franchise historical past (19 straight in 2002-03). Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Commanders 20, Texans 14
Walder’s choose: Texans 24, Commanders 20
FPI prediction: WSH, 57.9% (by a median of two.4 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Heinicke iced out after Commanders win over Eagles … Texans declare Amari Rodgers after Packers launch … Heinicke to begin once more Sunday; Wentz not prepared … A enjoyable custom: Heinicke buys Jordans for teammates after win vs. Eagles

4:05 p.m. ET | Fox | Unfold: DEN -3 (41)

What to look at for: Past two first-year head coaches on fast-warming seats, the Raiders are the one workforce to have carved out greater than 307 yards’ price of offense towards the Broncos this season and the one workforce to have scored greater than 19 factors this season towards the league’s No. 1 scoring protection — they did each within the Raiders’ 32-23 win in Week 4. Oh, and the Raiders rushed for a season-most 212 yards towards the Broncos’ protection as effectively. — Jeff Legwold

Daring prediction: With the Broncos’ No. 1-ranked scoring protection keyed as much as cease the run after Josh Jacobs rumbled for 144 yards towards it in Week 4, Raiders QB Derek Carr may have his first three-TD passing sport since Dec. 6, 2020. Sure, towards a Broncos protection that has not allowed such a sport since Nov. 8, 2020. Carr was emotional on the postgame podium final week, however stated Raiders proprietor Mark Davis giving first-year coach Josh McDaniels his assist regardless of the workforce’s disappointing 2-7 begin gave the workforce a way of aid and “confidence as a soccer workforce.” — Paul Gutierrez

Stat to know: The Broncos have scored greater than 20 factors solely twice this season, with their season excessive of 23 coming in a Week 3 loss to the Raiders.

Accidents: Raiders | Broncos

What to know for fantasy: Davante Adams has racked up no less than 95 receiving yards or discovered the tip zone in eight of 9 video games this season and was chargeable for 53.7% of Carr’s passing yards within the first assembly with the Broncos this season. You do not have to love this passing sport to like what Adams is supplying you with in his first season away from Inexperienced Bay. See Week 11 rankings.

Betting nugget: Las Vegas is 9-1 ATS (8-2 SU) in its previous 10 conferences towards Denver, together with 5-0 ATS as an underdog in that span (3-2 SU). Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Broncos 24, Raiders 21
Walder’s choose: Raiders 26, Broncos 16
FPI prediction: LV, 62.7% (by a median of three.8 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Barnwell picks the NFL’s luckiest and unluckiest groups: Why Raiders qualify for each … Banged-up Broncos get excellent news on Jeudy … Carr, Adams applaud proprietor’s protection of McDaniels … Wilson, offense trending traditionally downward … Carr emotional at podium after Raiders’ newest loss

4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: DAL -1.5 (47.5)

What to look at for: The Cowboys gained at U.S. Financial institution Stadium in 2020 and 2021 and are favored heading into this matchup even after shedding Sunday at Inexperienced Bay. That might have one thing to do with the Vikings’ thrilling however taxing additional time victory Sunday at Buffalo, a sport that featured 178 performs, together with particular groups. Over the previous 20 years, NFL groups are 127-133 within the sport instantly following a highway sport that went to additional time, in response to ESPN Stats & Data analysis. — Kevin Seifert

Daring prediction: CeeDee Lamb may have extra receiving yards than Justin Jefferson. Jefferson has 5 catches for 107 yards and a landing vs. Dallas. Lamb has 10 catches for 146 yards and a landing vs. Minnesota, together with a 100-yard effort. Final week towards the Inexperienced Bay Packers, Lamb had profession highs in catches (11) and yards (150). On Sunday, he’ll put up back-to-back 100-yard video games consecutively for the second time in his profession. — Todd Archer

Stat to know: Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins has 39 straight video games with a passing landing, the longest energetic streak within the NFL and the longest streak since Drew Brees went 45 straight from 2012 to 2015

Accidents: Cowboys | Vikings

What to know for fantasy: Tony Pollard has totaled 275 yards and 4 scores previously two video games with out Ezekiel Elliott. How does this cut up look if Zeke is again? Pollard did clear 85 whole yards in two of his previous three with Elliott energetic, so pencil him into lineups regardless. See Week 11 rankings.

Betting nugget: All 5 conferences between Dak Prescott and Cousins have gone over the whole. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Cowboys 34, Vikings 27
Walder’s choose: Cowboys 27, Vikings 24
FPI prediction: DAL, 56.6% (by a median of two factors)

Matchup must-reads: Cowboys know Achilles’ heel is run protection, so how do they repair it? … Jefferson, Jeff Saturday prime NFL quotes of the week … A turning level for Cowboys? Why loss to Packers is not ‘only one sport’



Stephen A. Smith weighs in on whether or not Dak Prescott is the Cowboys’ weakest hyperlink after an additional time loss to the Packers.

4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: CIN -4 (41)

What to look at for: Name this one the appendectomy bowl. Steelers security Minkah Fitzpatrick was projected to overlook a few weeks after present process an appendectomy Saturday following the workforce’s pre-Saints walk-through. However Mike Tomlin stated early studies of Fitzpatrick’s restoration this week have been constructive, which means there’s an opportunity he is on the sphere to face quarterback Joe Burrow, who additionally had an emergency appendectomy after his appendix ruptured in late July. Fitzpatrick was a pressure within the season opener towards the Bengals, selecting off Burrow’s first cross try for a pick-six. — Brooke Pryor

Daring prediction: Burrow will throw for 300 yards and three landing passes in a blowout win. On paper, Cincinnati needs to be positioned for a giant win. The offensive line is taking part in significantly better in current weeks, and Burrow is not contemporary off a critical appendectomy like he was in Week 1. All of that ought to yield a giant day for the Cincy QB. — Ben Child

Stat to know: The Steelers are coming off their greatest speeding efficiency of the season, as they ran for 187 yards in Week 10 towards the Saints, together with 99 from working again Najee Harris and 51 from rookie quarterback Kenny Pickett.

Accidents: Bengals | Steelers

What to know for fantasy: The final time we noticed Joe Mixon, he was setting franchise information (Week 9 vs. CAR: 211 yards and 5 touchdowns), however it’s no less than price noting that it took him 27 totes to choose up 82 yards towards the Steelers in Week 1 (and 31 of these yards got here on a single carry). Lineup lock in season-long leagues, clearly, however think about your choices when speaking DFS. See Week 11 rankings.

Betting nugget: After not overlaying the unfold the primary two weeks of the 2022 season the Bengals are 6-1 ATS of their previous seven video games. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Bengals 27, Steelers 20
Walder’s choose: Bengals 30, Steelers 13
FPI prediction: CIN, 79.6% (by a median of 9.8 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Bengals following final season’s script, however will turnaround be the identical? … Harris warming to Steelers’ working back-by-committee method

8:20 p.m. ET | NBC | Unfold: KC -6 (51)

What to look at for: The Chargers have been decimated by accidents since a Week 2 loss to the Chiefs, however coach Brandon Staley expressed optimism that gamers will quickly start to return. That might embrace vast receivers Keenan Allen and Mike Williams, who returned to follow this week after lacking the previous two video games. The Bolts know this matchup towards the division chief is essential of their try and earn their first playoff berth since 2018. — Lindsey Thiry

Daring prediction: The sport will likely be determined by greater than seven factors, which hasn’t occurred previously 4 conferences when neither workforce is resting key gamers to organize for the postseason. This time, although, the Chiefs are on a roll, having gained three straight video games, two by double digits. Patrick Mahomes is taking part in in addition to he ever has. The Chargers have misplaced two of three. The Chiefs have not misplaced to the Chargers in Southern California since 2013. — Adam Teicher

Stat to know: Mahomes’ run of 13 straight wins in highway division video games is the second longest by a beginning QB for the reason that 1970 merger, trailing Corridor of Famer Joe Montana’s 20-game run with the 49ers from 1984 to 1993.

Accidents: Chiefs | Chargers

What to know for fantasy: Isiah Pacheco out-snapped Jerick McKinnon 35-23 final week, and Clyde Edwards-Helaire was on the sphere for simply 4 performs. The lead again on this explosive offense comes with top-15 potential, and Pacheco definitely appears to have the within observe as we method the stretch run of the fantasy season. See Week 11 rankings.

Betting nugget: That is solely the third time the Chargers have been an underdog this season. They lined the unfold throughout the first two, together with final week towards the 49ers (misplaced 22-16 as an 8-point ‘canine). Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Chiefs 35, Chargers 28
Walder’s choose: Chiefs 38, Chargers 24
FPI prediction: KC, 80.2% (by a median of 10 factors)

Matchup must-reads: NFL MVP watch 2022: Rating prime candidates, Mahomes’ probabilities … Allen, Williams follow, however two DLs go on IR … Chiefs ‘mad’ over no-call as Smith-Schuster enters concussion protocol

Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET | ESPN | Unfold: SF -8 (43.5)

What to look at for: DeAndre Hopkins has had no less than 100 receiving yards in two of his 4 video games this season and 98 in a 3rd. That does not bode effectively for a 49ers protection that is allowed three 100-yard receivers and two others with 98 and 97 yards. Hopkins additionally could possibly be bolstered by the potential return of Marquise Brown, who’s eligible to be activated at any level throughout the subsequent three weeks. Hopkins has proven that he is able to going for giant video games with each Kyler Murray and Colt McCoy at quarterback, so one other 100-yard sport could possibly be in retailer in prime time in Mexico Metropolis on Monday evening. — Josh Weinfuss

Daring prediction: The 49ers may have no less than 230 yards after the catch. The best output by a workforce this season was the 229 YAC the Broncos had in Week 1 towards the Seahawks. However this matchup skews closely in favor of the Niners’ capability to emphasize Arizona’s tackling. Coming into this week, San Francisco is fourth within the league in YAC per sport and first in YAC per reception. In the meantime, the Cardinals’ protection permits probably the most YAC per sport and YAC per reception within the NFL. — Nick Wagoner

Stat to know: The 49ers have scored on 50% of their drives since buying working again McCaffrey, the third-highest fee within the NFL. They have been scoring on solely 29% of their drives prior. McCaffrey has been on the sphere for seven of their eight offensive touchdowns for the reason that commerce.

Accidents: 49ers | Cardinals

What to know for fantasy: Kenneth Walker III was the one working again final week to account for the next share of his workforce’s backfield touches than James Conner (96%). It has been a bumpy experience, however Conner seems poised to repay his preseason price ticket on the actual proper time for fantasy managers. See Week 11 rankings.

Betting nugget: After going underneath for 4 consecutive weeks in Weeks 3-6, Cardinals video games have gone over the whole the previous 4 weeks. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: 49ers 31, Cardinals 27
Walder’s choose: 49ers 26, Cardinals 22
FPI prediction: SF, 68.8% (by a median of 5.7 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Regardless of win, Shanahan baffled by Greenlaw ejection … Cardinals QB Murray feels ‘good’ however uncertain of standing for MNF … Watt pays out fan’s parlay after blown name

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