A course of that started with a information launch on June 10, 2021, got here to a decision this week when the School Soccer Playoff introduced Thursday it is going to broaden the game’s postseason to 12 groups in time for the 2024 and 2025 seasons.
An entire new set of challenges started this fall, when the 11 presidents and chancellors who comprise the CFP’s board of managers took management of the method and voted in early September to broaden the sphere to 12 groups in 2026. Since then, the presidents urged the ten FBS commissioners and Notre Dame athletic director Jack Swarbrick to determine a approach to do in time for the 2024 season.
This week, all of it hinged on the Rose Bowl — essentially the most storied and conventional bowl — relinquishing its request that the CFP assure the bowl its conventional New Yr’s Day time slot at 2 p.m. PT within the subsequent contract, which begins in 2026.
“It is no secret that we had been all the way down to the ultimate minutes of the fourth quarter,” CFP govt director Invoice Hancock stated. “And there was no additional time. And if we hadn’t reached an settlement, there isn’t any query in my thoughts that we’d’ve continued the four-team playoff by means of the 2024 and 2025 seasons. No query in my thoughts. However we’re right here to rejoice the very fact we did attain an settlement. I really feel a little bit bit like each coach who says we will rejoice this for twenty-four hours and we’ll get began on subsequent week. That is what is going to occur right here. There are many particulars to place collectively for , however I am delighted we get the chance to place these particulars collectively.”
How did they lastly come to an settlement with the Rose Bowl? Who advantages essentially the most from the brand new deal? And what comes subsequent?
Heather Dinich, Adam Rittenberg and Pete Thamel break all of it down.
What’s the Rose Bowl’s position in all of this?
To ensure that the CFP to broaden earlier than the present contract expires following the 2025 season, all events needed to unanimously conform to it. The Rose Bowl was the final to hitch the celebration. The dialogue centered round one of the profitable tv home windows in school sports activities. The Rose Bowl desires to take care of its unique broadcast window on Jan. 1 at 2 p.m. PT in years that it will additionally host a CFP semifinal.
The Rose Bowl was keen to quickly concede its relationship with the Huge Ten and Pac-12 to host a quarterfinal sport in 2024 and 2025, however in return, it wished assurances about its time slot within the new contract.
Laura Farber, chair of the Rose Bowl administration committee, advised ESPN on Thursday the committee by no means had any intentions of stopping early growth and “relinquished that ask.”
“In our negotiations, we had initially requested for an unique window across the Rose Bowl Recreation’s historic time slot at 2 p.m. PT on Jan. 1,” she stated. “Whereas we relinquished that ask, the Event of Roses goes to proceed to work with the CFP Board of Managers on how we’ll match into that CFP playoff rotation. It is our intent to maintain the Rose Bowl Recreation on Jan. 1, however we’ll stay versatile on scheduling as wanted.”
The CFP did not wish to make any guarantees — and it nonetheless would not.
“There aren’t any ensures for 2026 and past,” Hancock stated. “Nothing is locked in. We are going to tackle all of the bowls on the identical foundation when that point comes.”
The Rose Bowl will host the quarterfinals in 2024 and 2025 in its identical historic time window and its present tv contract. Hancock stated there hasn’t been a lot dialogue concerning the subsequent contract, which is able to start in 2026, and they’ll “tackle all of the bowls on the identical foundation.”
“I’d say that it will be in everybody’s finest curiosity for any CFP that occurs within the Rose Bowl to kick off round 2 p.m. PT,” he stated. — Dinich
How does this affect the regular-season schedule?
For now, there are not any plans to maneuver the season or begin at Week 0 within the present contract, however Hancock stated conversations about it is going to proceed. It is much less a CFP situation than it’s a wholistic have a look at the game’s calendar, which is one thing that might be mentioned on the degree of the commissioners.
“Nobody may be very far down the highway on that,” he stated.
Hancock stated he would not suppose a 12-team discipline can have any important adjustments on the common season, apart from extra significant video games in November.
“The common season has turn into extra essential,” he stated. “The sport of faculty soccer is actually very wholesome. Take a look at the viewership. Take a look at the variety of individuals within the stands. I feel this 12-team event will solely improve that.”
With the six highest-ranked convention champions assured a spot within the 12-team discipline, it is attainable athletic administrators are extra inclined to take dangers within the nonconference schedule and add high-quality Energy 5 opponents to the slate. There shall be much less strain to complete undefeated or with one loss within the new format. — Dinich
What’s the format?
The brand new format would begin with the 2024 season, so we’ll have two extra playoffs underneath the present format — this 12 months and subsequent 12 months.
The sphere will comprise the choice committee’s six highest-ranked convention champions and its subsequent six highest-ranked groups. The 4 highest-ranked convention champions will earn the highest seeds and a first-round bye. The opposite eight groups will play within the first spherical, with the upper seeds internet hosting the decrease seeds on campus or at one other web site of their alternative.
The primary spherical of the playoff in 2024 will happen the week of Dec. 21, probably late in that week. The particular dates shall be introduced later.
For the 2024 and 2025 seasons, the 4 quarterfinal video games and two semifinal video games shall be performed in bowls on a rotating foundation. The 2024 quarterfinals will happen within the Fiesta Bowl, Peach Bowl, Rose Bowl and Sugar Bowl, whereas the Cotton Bowl and Orange Bowl will host the semifinals. The 2025 quarterfinals will happen within the Cotton, Orange, Rose and Sugar, whereas the Fiesta and Peach will host the semifinals.
The nationwide championship video games shall be performed Jan. 20, 2025, in Atlanta, and Jan. 19, 2026, in Miami. — Dinich
How a 12-team playoff would look in the present day
Championship week video games and the ultimate playoff rankings for this 12 months are nonetheless to come back, however primarily based on the present CFP rankings, an expanded playoff would seem like this:
Seeds with byes
(convention champs in daring)
5. Ohio State
8. Penn State
10. Kansas State
First-round video games
No. 12 Tulane at No. 5 Ohio State
No. 11 Utah at No. 6 Alabama
No. 10 Kansas State at No. 7 Tennessee
No. 9 Clemson at No. 8 Penn State
Quarterfinal video games
No. 9 Clemson-No. 8 Penn State winner vs. No. 1 Georgia
No. 10 Kansas State-No. 7 Tennessee winner vs. No. 2 Michigan
No. 11 Utah-No. 6 Alabama winner vs. No. 3 TCU
No. 12 Tulane-No. 5 Ohio State winner vs. No. 4 USC
How did they find yourself at 12 over 8 or 16?
There has at all times been robust assist at each the presidential and commissioner degree for 12 groups, and a part of it’s as a result of they just like the first-round byes for the highest 4 seeds, but additionally due to the workable logistics within the general school soccer calendar. Whereas there have been some who at the least wished to think about the potential for a 16-team format, there merely wasn’t sufficient curiosity.
“You begin getting down into a few of the particulars and logistics … after which someone stated, ‘Effectively, why cannot we take into consideration different choices?'” Mississippi State president and CFP board chair Mark Keenum stated in September. “Effectively, I am going to say this, all the presidents consider that the 12-team format is the correct factor to do, for this time, at this second.” — Dinich
How does this have an effect on future convention realignment?
The largest reverberation is that the six at-large bids will function a lure to maintain Notre Dame impartial within the instant future. With clear playoff entry and NBC showing motivated to maintain Notre Dame now that it has a slice of the Huge Ten, the 2 greatest tentpoles to Irish independence seem set for the instant future.
As for the remainder of school soccer, this can be a fascinating query. The cash hole between the Huge Ten and SEC and the remainder of the leagues stays massive. There’ll at all times be motivated colleges jockeying to hitch these leagues. However the truth that there shall be computerized bids for the highest six convention champions provides a layer of certainty to leagues just like the Pac-12 and Huge 12 which were damage by current defections. Holistically, it helps the game. Realignment would occur unrelated to playoff entry. — Thamel
Who advantages most from an expanded playoff? Does it damage anybody?
The SEC has had essentially the most appearances (10), wins (14) and championships (5) throughout the CFP period, and sure will improve its share of the sphere with as much as seven out there slots. Though commissioner Greg Sankey repeatedly acknowledged the league was nice with a four-team playoff, the variety of CFP-capable packages in his league, plus the additions of Oklahoma and Texas, elevated the necessity for entry. The Huge Ten additionally stands to profit, because the league has packed the highest 12 of the ultimate CFP standings however has had solely six whole appearances by three groups within the four-team mannequin.
The mannequin additionally marks a big win for the Group of 5 conferences, which produced their first CFP participant within the four-team system final 12 months (Cincinnati) and unanimously supported the 12-team proposal. No less than one Group of 5 program will make the 12-team playoff yearly, and the improved profiles of leagues such because the AAC and Solar Belt enhance the probabilities of two Group of 5 contributors in some years. Though Group of 5 contributors probably shall be highway groups enjoying in first-round matchups, they lastly have a real seat on the desk.
The vote is nice information for Notre Dame, which can have six entry factors as an alternative of 4. Athletic director Jack Swarbrick was a part of the four-man working group that in June 2021 introduced the 12-team mannequin, which was later adopted. He remained an ardent supporter and ally to Sankey and others throughout the tense commissioner conferences that adopted.
There aren’t any apparent losers in an expanded playoff, though the annual distribution of groups may reinforce the hole between the SEC and the Huge Ten and the opposite energy conferences. A mannequin guaranteeing spots for the six highest-rated convention champions creates the potential for leagues such because the Pac-12, Huge 12 or ACC being neglected solely, which might sting in a number of methods. The Pac-12 hasn’t had a CFP group since 2016, whereas the Huge 12’s solely CFP participant, Oklahoma, quickly will depart for the SEC. However a postseason system that triples the variety of spots ought to, in idea, assist each energy league. — Rittenberg
Is that this the final time we see playoff growth?
Certainly one of many unanswered questions is how lengthy the following contract shall be, which is able to assist decide how dedicated the presidents are to this format. The present contract was 12 years, with the four-team playoff in place for 10. If there’s one factor that is sure about school athletics, it is that nothing is definite for any size of time.
“Will we at all times be at a 12-team [format]? I can not reply that,” Keenum stated in September. “We proceed to search for methods to additional enhance the playoff going ahead. … And my goodness, I’ve a head soccer coach [Mike Leach] who thinks we should have a 64-team playoff. I imply, that is what he believes, so my level is there’s at all times going to be room for enchancment.” — Dinich